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Construction of All-Weather Speed–Spacing Safety Benchmarks for Highways under Complex Weather Conditions Using FT-Transformer

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DOI: 10.23977/autml.2026.070203 | Downloads: 0 | Views: 16

Author(s)

Quan Yu 1, Huihui Guo 1, Jingfeng Zou 1, Feier Jia 1

Affiliation(s)

1 College of Electrical and Control Engineering, North China University of Technology, No.5 Jingyuanzhuang Road, Shijingshan District, Beijing, China

Corresponding Author

Huihui Guo

ABSTRACT

To address the limited adaptability of static speed and spacing regulations under complex weather conditions, this study develops a data-driven framework for constructing all-weather speed–spacing safety benchmarks for highways. A total of 54 composite weather–traffic scenarios were generated through driving simulation experiments by combining weather and road surface conditions, visibility levels, illumination conditions, and background traffic flow. Microscopic driving behavior data were extracted to characterize the probabilistic distribution of vehicle speed and car-following distance under different environmental constraints. A multi-task FT-Transformer model combined with conditional quantile regression was employed to estimate the 15th, 50th, and 85th percentile boundaries of the two-dimensional safety interval. The 85th percentile boundary was further integrated with physical headway constraints and statutory speed–spacing requirements to generate scenario-specific safety benchmarks. The results show that the proposed model achieves competitive prediction accuracy and provides smoother responses under continuous visibility variations compared with tree-based baselines. Benchmark analysis indicates that low-adhesion snowy conditions require greater speed reductions than those implied by visibility-based statutory limits, while extreme low-visibility and high-traffic scenarios require larger car-following distances than the statutory minimum. These findings provide quantitative support for dynamic speed control, spacing management, and cooperative vehicle–infrastructure safety applications under adverse weather conditions.

KEYWORDS

Traffic engineering, all-weather safety benchmark, complex weather, FT-Transformer, conditional quantile regression, speed–spacing control

CITE THIS PAPER

Quan Yu, Huihui Guo, Jingfeng Zou, Feier Jia. Construction of All-Weather Speed–Spacing Safety Benchmarks for Highways under Complex Weather Conditions Using FT-Transformer. Automation and Machine Learning (2026). Vol. 7, No. 2, 16-23. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.23977/autml.2026.070203.

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