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Study on Pneumonic Plague Based on Double SIR Model

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DOI: 10.23977/phpm.2021.010114 | Downloads: 10 | Views: 1535

Author(s)

Boyao Zhang 1

Affiliation(s)

1 Beijing Royal School, Beijing, China

Corresponding Author

Boyao Zhang

ABSTRACT

Plague, also known as black plague, is caused by Yersinia bacteria. In order to provide better prevention and control measures for pneumonic plague, I explored the transmission rules of pneumonic plague and established the double SIR model of two-way infection based on the traditional SIR model by adding birth rate, death rate and infection rate between human and mouse and other parameter. In this article, the relationship of infection among different kinds of patients and mice was given and the numerical simulation was carried out on this basis. Finally, the role of the model in the epidemic situation is emphasized, such as providing theoretical significance for the transmission trend of pneumonic plague, and the shortcomings of this paper are also pointed out, such as the lack of data on pneumonic plague and the inability to carry out numerical simulation.

KEYWORDS

Infectious disease. SIR epidemic model. Double transmission. Matlab analysis

CITE THIS PAPER

Boyao Zhang. Study on Pneumonic Plague Based on Double SIR Model. MEDS Public Health and Preventive Medicine (2021) 1: 77-85. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.23977/phpm.2021.010114.

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