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Research on the Natural Migration Model Under Climate Change

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DOI: 10.23977/EMSS2020029

Author(s)

Yifan Hong, Haoqing Li, Jiaying Kou

Corresponding Author

Yifan Hong

ABSTRACT

Excessive greenhouse gas emissions cause global warming. Furthermore, the rise of sea levels will lead to more severe problems, even disappearance of a country. People who become homeless due to climate change events are called environmentally displaced persons (EDPs). They need to relocate, at the the same time, we are obliged to propose related policies in order to protect EDPs human rights, customs and culture. Therefore, we build a complete migration model which includes the maximum distance model for relocation, a choice model to research which countries EDPs are willing to move in and cultural loss model during the migration phase that can help us know the risk of loss of culture. Besides, compared natural migration to migration with UN intervention, we analyse the influences by proposed policy and find the rate of culture loss will reduce under UN intervention.

KEYWORDS

EDPs, Natural Migration Model, Greenhouse Gas

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