Education, Science, Technology, Innovation and Life
Open Access
Sign In

A Study on the Commonality Mechanism Formation Schema of Asset Price Bubbles Based on Experimental Economics

Download as PDF

DOI: 10.23977/ferm.2023.061003 | Downloads: 9 | Views: 349

Author(s)

Tingting Wu 1, Lili Dun 2

Affiliation(s)

1 Business School, Xi’an International Studies University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, 710128, China
2 Henan Daily Group, Zhengzhou, Henan, 450000, China

Corresponding Author

Tingting Wu

ABSTRACT

Eight groups of different experimental environment have been set up, based on the differences in the basis value, liquidity value and asset supply volume. These groups adopt the experimental economics approach to validate whether asset price bubble will be formed under a single condition, any two conditions or three conditions of excess liquidity, high benefit expectation as well as the supply of inflexible assets respectively. Firstly, the statistical analysis about the experimental results have been performed based on the Mann-Whitney approach, the three forming conditions listed above have been validated in order to impose a positive effect on the asset price bubble and the effectiveness of the theoretical hypothesis have also been tested. Secondly, the average of the experimental results has been compared using Kruskal-Wallis approach, which has proved that asset price bubble can only be formed when the three forming conditions listed above are satisfied. Finally, the experimental result has revealed the commonality formation path for asset price bubble, which means that the asset price bubble will be formed when over-trading is generated by excess liquidity under the condition of high investment expectation for the investor. It will also be formed when the asset price deviates from the basis price severely under the function of positive feedback mechanism, based on the premise of inelastic asset supply.

KEYWORDS

Experimental Economics, Excess Liquidity, High Benefit Expectation, Inelastic Assets Supply, Asset Price Bubble and Commonality Formation Mechanism

CITE THIS PAPER

Tingting Wu, Lili Dun, A Study on the Commonality Mechanism Formation Schema of Asset Price Bubbles Based on Experimental Economics. Financial Engineering and Risk Management (2023) Vol. 6: 24-34. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.23977/ferm.2023.061003.

REFERENCES

[1] Homm U and Breitung J. Testing for Speculative Bubbles in Stock Markets: A Comparison of Alternative Methods. J. Finan. Econ., 10(1), 198-231 (2011). 
[2] Jarrow R A, Protter P, Shimbo K. Asset Price Bubbles in Incomplete Markets. Math. Finance, 2010, 20(2), pp. 145-185. 
[3] Yoon G. Some Properties of Periodically Collapsing Bubbles. Econ. Modelling, 2012, 29(2), pp. 299-302. 
[4] Phillips P C B and Yu J. Dating the Timeline of Financial Bubbles during the Subprime Crisis. Quant. Econ., 2011, 2(2), pp. 455-491. 
[5] Al-Anaswah N, Wilfling B. Identification of speculative bubbles using state-space models with Markov- switching. J. Banking Finance, 2011, 35(5), pp. 1073-1086. 
[6] Dai Y C. Stock market bubble formation mechanism and triggered by the great debate on the deep thinking -- on the distortion of stock market operation and stock complex. Econ. Res., 2001, (04), pp. 41-50. 
[7] Kindleberger C P, Aliber R Z. Manias, Panics and Crashes: a history of financial crises. In: Palgrave Macmillan, London, United Kingdom, 2011, pp. 378-379. 
[8] Blanchard O J. and Watson M W. Bubbles, Rational Expectations and Financial Markets. Crises in the Economic and Financial Structure, 1982, (3), pp. 295-316. 
[9] Li J B, Li Z Y. The belief foundation of trust:--the test of experimental economics. Manage. Sci., 2013, 02, pp. 62-71. 
[10] Tan S T. Behavioral finance theory: from the perspective of investor trading behavior. Manage. World, 2007, (08), pp. 140-150. 
[11] Meng Z, Yang J W. Mathematical Finance to Behavioral Finance-from the Ideal World to the Real World. Finan. Theory Practice, 2014, (06), pp. 107-110. 
[12] Caginalpa G. and Ilieva V. The dynamics of Trader Motivations in Asset Bubbles. J. Econ. Behav. Organ., 2008, 66(3), pp. 641-656.
[13] Liang D Q. Measurement of liquidity and its relationship with asset price. Finan. Res., 2008, 09, pp. 44-55. 
[14] Lucy F, Aekert N C, Bryan K and Riehard D. Bubbles in Experimental Asset Markets: Irrational Exuberance No More. Fed. Reserve Bank Atlanta, Working Paper, 2002, 24. 
[15] Shiller R J. Bubbles, human judgment, and expert opinion. Finan. Anal. J., 2002, pp. 18-26. 
[16] Blanchard O J. Debt, Deficits, and Finite Horizons. J. Polit. Economy, 1985, 93(2), pp. 223-247. 
[17] Liu J Q, Tang L X, Cui C. Formation mechanism analysis and empirical test of price bubbles in China. Finan. Res., 2005, (4), pp. 5-12. 
[18] Bu L, Li Z, Zhang X Y. Short term international capital flows, RMB exchange rates and asset prices-- an analysis based on directed acyclic graphs. Econ. Rev., 01, 2015, pp. 140-151. 
[19]Akshayasimha Channarayapatna Harshasimha. Economics Supporting the Transformation of Multimodal Data Algorithm in the Natural Protection Environment Model. Nature Environmental Protection (2020), Vol. 1, Issue 4: 27-36. 
[20]Thielen Oriaghe. Root Causes of the Problems of the Development and Utilization of Marine Resources Assets from the Perspective of Economics. Frontiers in Ocean Engineering (2022), Vol. 3, Issue 2: 10-17.

Downloads: 16505
Visits: 338214

All published work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Copyright © 2016 - 2031 Clausius Scientific Press Inc. All Rights Reserved.