Author(s)

Shuhao Ge ¹, Haichuan Huang ¹, Rongze Yang ¹

Affiliation(s)

¹ School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, 210044, China

Corresponding Author

Shuhao Ge

ABSTRACT

Based on the data of a place from January 1, 2016 to December 31, 2019, this paper analyzes the number of fire rescue alarms in months, establishes a time series model by using SPSS software, and obtains that the type of alarm number prediction model is simple seasonal type through the calculation and analysis of BIC selection principle and fitting statistical stationary R^2. At the same time, ACF and PACF coefficients show that the model has high accuracy and stability. Considering the policy and other influencing factors, the model is well trained, and the winters additive mathematical model is established by using the data given in 2020 to predict the number of police calls in 2021.

KEYWORDS

Time series analysis, Winters additive mathematical model, Prediction model

CITE THIS PAPER

Shuhao Ge, Haichuan Huang, Rongze Yang, Prediction Model of Fire Rescue Alarm Times Based on Time Series Analysis. Computing, Performance and Communication Systems (2022) Vol. 6: 7-11. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.23977/cpcs.2022.060102.

REFERENCES

[1] Jiang Qiyuan, Xie Jinxing, ye Jun, mathematical model (Third Edition): Higher Education Press, August 2003
[2] Lingo software package user manual: scientific research China sciei Com.
[3] Long Xiaoming Current situation and problems of fire emergency rescue command system construction in China [J] Fire today, 2020, 5 (05): 32-33

Sponsors, Associates, and Links

---

• Power Systems Computation
  
  
• Internet of Things (IoT) and Engineering Applications
  
  
• Journal of Artificial Intelligence Practice
  
  
• Advances in Computer, Signals and Systems
  
  
• Journal of Network Computing and Applications
  
  
• Journal of Web Systems and Applications
  
  
• Journal of Electrotechnology, Electrical Engineering and Management
  
  
• Journal of Wireless Sensors and Sensor Networks
  
  
• Journal of Image Processing Theory and Applications
  
  
• Mobile Computing and Networking
  
  
• Vehicle Power and Propulsion
  
  
• Frontiers in Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
  
  
• Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining Letters
  
  
• Big Data Analysis and Cloud Computing
  
  
• Electrical Insulation and Dielectrics
  
  
• Crypto and Information Security
  
  
• Journal of Neural Information Processing
  
  
• Collaborative and Social Computing
  
  
• International Journal of Network and Communication Technology
  
  
• File and Storage Technologies
  
  
• Frontiers in Genetic and Evolutionary Computation
  
  
• Optical Network Design and Modeling
  
  
• Journal of Virtual Reality and Artificial Intelligence
  
  
• Natural Language Processing and Speech Recognition
  
  
• Journal of High-Voltage
  
  
• Programming Languages and Operating Systems
  
  
• Visual Communications and Image Processing
  
  
• Journal of Systems Analysis and Integration
  
  
• Knowledge Representation and Automated Reasoning
  
  
• Review of Information Display Techniques
  
  
• Data and Knowledge Engineering
  
  
• Journal of Database Systems
  
  
• Journal of Cluster and Grid Computing
  
  
• Cloud and Service-Oriented Computing
  
  
• Journal of Networking, Architecture and Storage
  
  
• Journal of Software Engineering and Metrics
  
  
• Visualization Techniques
  
  
• Journal of Parallel and Distributed Processing
  
  
• Journal of Modeling, Analysis and Simulation
  
  
• Journal of Privacy, Trust and Security
  
  
• Journal of Cognitive Informatics and Cognitive Computing
  
  
• Lecture Notes on Wireless Networks and Communications
  
  
• International Journal of Computer and Communications Security
  
  
• Journal of Multimedia Techniques
  
  
• Automation and Machine Learning
  
  
• Computational Linguistics Letters
  
  
• Journal of Computer Architecture and Design
  
  
• Journal of Ubiquitous and Future Networks