Education, Science, Technology, Innovation and Life
Open Access
Sign In

Empirical analysis of China's fiscal deficit, trade surplus and private sector savings based on historical data

Download as PDF

DOI: 10.23977/ferm.2024.070225 | Downloads: 12 | Views: 178

Author(s)

Yiyang Cao 1

Affiliation(s)

1 Business School, East China University of Political Science and Law, Shanghai, China

Corresponding Author

Yiyang Cao

ABSTRACT

This article conducts empirical analysis on China's fiscal deficit, current account surplus, and private sector savings data after the reform and opening-up policy. It finds a clear positive correlation between private sector savings and fiscal deficit, and a significant negative correlation between current account surplus and government fiscal deficit. As a result, it concludes that in the short term, the government can improve the fiscal deficit through international trade policies; however, in the long term, addressing private sector savings remains essential for improvement.

KEYWORDS

Fiscal deficits, Trade surpluses, Private sector savings

CITE THIS PAPER

Yiyang Cao, Empirical analysis of China's fiscal deficit, trade surplus and private sector savings based on historical data. Financial Engineering and Risk Management (2024) Vol. 7: 188-200. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.23977/ferm.2024.070225.

REFERENCES

[1] Li Jin, Wang Gang, Li Zeguang. The Hypothesis of Investment-Savings Gap and the Persistence of China's Current Account Imbalance. Shanghai Finance, 2010, No. 361(08): 5-11.
[2] Li Shikai. Trade Deficits, Fiscal Deficits, and Tax Policies in the United States in the New Century. Social Sciences, 2008, No.330 (02): 23-30+188.
[3] Li Xupeng. The Impact Mechanism of Income Distribution on China's Current Account: Based on the Savings-Investment Gap Perspective [J]. Journal of South-Central University for Nationalities (Humanities and Social Sciences), 2020, 40(03): 127-134. DOI:10.19898/j.cnki.42-1704/c.2020.03.021.
[4] Lin Guijun, Ronald Schramm. Structural Analysis of the Savings/Investment Gap and Current Account Surplus in China [J]. Finance & Trade Economics, 2008, No. 317(04): 11-17+128. DOI:10.19795/j.cnki.cn11-1166/f.2008.04.002.
[5] Liu Wei, Hu Bing, Li Chuanzhao. Fiscal Deficit, Real Effective Exchange Rate, and Trade Balance: An Empirical Test Based on Chinese Data [J]. Management World, 2007, No. 163(04): 32-39. DOI:10.19744/j.cnki.11-1235/f.2007.04.005.
[6] Lu Yuduo, Li Fangzhou. A Comparative Study on the Impact of Fiscal Deficits between China and the United States on the Current Account [J]. Science and Technology Management, 2016, 18(06): 39-47. DOI: 10.16315/j.stm. 2016. 06.007.
[7] Yu Huiqian. Fiscal Deficits, Trade Deficits, and the Savings-Investment Gap: An Empirical Test Based on the Triple Deficits Issue in Greece [J]. Statistics and Decision, 2012, No. 357(09): 148-151. DOI: 10.13546/j.cnki.tjyjc. 2012. 09.036.
[8] Xu Shaoqiang, Jiao Wu. Savings Greater than Investment and China's Continued Surplus in International Balance of Payments [J]. Finance and Economics Science, 2007, No. 234(09): 105-111.
[9] Xu Xiongqi, Zhang Zongyi, Kang Jijun. Fiscal Deficits and Trade Imbalances: Empirical Evidence from the Chinese Economy (1978-2003) [J]. World Economy, 2006(02): 41-50+96.
[10] Xu Xiongqi, Tao Lei, Zhang Xiaoying. Fiscal Deficits, Population Structure, and National Savings: Empirical Evidence from the Chinese Economy (1978-2008) [J]. Journal of Chongqing University of Technology (Social Sciences), 2010, 24(01): 41-48.
[11] Ito H. U.S. current account debate with Japan then, with China now [J]. Journal of Asian Economics, 2009, 20(3): 294-313.
[12] Hassan M. Budget deficits and the current account balance: New evidence from panel data [J]. Journal of Economics and Finance, 2004, 28(1): 39-45.
[13] Obstfeld M, Rogoff S K. Global Current Account Imbalances and Exchange Rate Adjustments [J]. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2005, 2005(1): 67-123.

Downloads: 21018
Visits: 385741

All published work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Copyright © 2016 - 2031 Clausius Scientific Press Inc. All Rights Reserved.