Education, Science, Technology, Innovation and Life
Open Access
Sign In

Analysis and Research on the Progress of Epidemiological Dynamics based on SEIRS Predictive Model

Download as PDF

DOI: 10.23977/phpm.2021.010106 | Downloads: 6 | Views: 687

Author(s)

Zhenyuan Hu 1, Luping Wang 2, Changwei Li 1, Defeng Wen 1

Affiliation(s)

1 School of Aeronautical Engine, Shenyang University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Shenyang, Liaoning, 110000
2 Shenyang University of Aerospace Engineering Training Center, Shenyang, Liaoning, 110000

Corresponding Author

Luping Wang

ABSTRACT

In this paper, based on the nonlinear mathematical model SEIRS model, we describe the random transition between susceptibility, latent, morbidity and cure of the dynamic behavior of people under the action of infectious diseases. We select the infection rate, the number of contacts, the cure rate, mortality, immune cycle and other factors to solve the problem of the change of the number of patients in the system when the average number of people exposed to the initial latent person is different. By using dynamic simulation, it is concluded that the average number of contacts increases and the number of patients increases in the same cycle.

KEYWORDS

dynamic transmission model, SEIRS model, dynamic simulation, COVID-19 epidemic situation

CITE THIS PAPER

Zhenyuan Hu, Luping Wang, Changwei Li, Defeng Wen. Analysis and Research on the Progress of Epidemiological Dynamics based on SEIRS Predictive Model. MEDS Public Health and Preventive Medicine (2021) 1: 36-40. DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.23977/phpm.2021.010106

REFERENCES

[1] Huang Guangqiu, Sun Siya, Lu Qiuqin. A function optimization method based on SEIRS epidemic model-- SEIRS algorithm [J]. Computer Research and Development, 2014 Jing 51 (12): 2671-2687.
[2] Wang Xia, Hong Fengling, Yan Weiping. Global stability of a class of SEIRS epidemic model [J]. The Progress of Applied Mathematics, 2013 Jing 2 (02): 83-88. 
DOI: 10. 12677/AAM. 2013. 22011.
[3] Yu Yumin, Song Suluo. Study on a kind of SEIRS epidemic model [J]. Journal of Zhengzhou University (Science Edition), 2011 Jing 43 (2): 4-9.
[4] Wang Ting, Wang Hui, Hu Zhixing. A kind of nonlinear SEI RS mathematical model of infectious disease transmission [J]. Journal of Henan University of Science and Technology (Natural Science Edition), 2017, 38 (2): 84-88, 94.

Downloads: 149
Visits: 10685

Sponsors, Associates, and Links


All published work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Copyright © 2016 - 2031 Clausius Scientific Press Inc. All Rights Reserved.